Public Health Outcomes: Intelligence Update - July 2022
This page covers data and intelligence releases of note in July 2022.
2021 Census
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has made its first release of covering local authority population numbers.
Changes from 2020 Mid-year population estimate
In 2021, South Tyneside had a population of 147,700. This was a 3,333 (2.2%) reduction on the mid-year 2020 population estimate of 151,133. There were notable differences by age including an 8.7% reduction in residents in their 20s. This alone accounted for 1,530 fewer people the total population.
Table 1: Mid-Year 2020 population estimate compared to 2021 Census - 5-year age bands
Age | mid-year 2020 | 2021 Census | Change | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
All Ages | 151,133 | 147,800 | -3,333 | -2.2% |
Age 0 - 4 | 8,130 | 7,800 | -330 | -4.1% |
Aged 5-9 | 8,728 | 8,500 | -228 | -2.6% |
Aged 10-14 | 8,594 | 8,600 | 6 | 0.1% |
Aged 15-19 | 7,681 | 7,500 | -181 | -2.4% |
Aged 20-24 | 7,999 | 7,300 | -699 | -8.7% |
Aged 25-29 | 9,531 | 8,700 | -831 | -8.7% |
Aged 30-34 | 10,033 | 9,900 | -133 | -1.3% |
Aged 35-39 | 9,276 | 9,400 | 124 | 1.3% |
Aged 40-44 | 8,347 | 8,500 | 153 | 1.8% |
Aged 45-49 | 9,169 | 8,700 | -469 | -5.1% |
Aged 50-54 | 10,827 | 10,400 | -427 | -3.9% |
Aged 55-59 | 11,537 | 11,200 | -337 | -2.9% |
Aged 60-64 | 10,467 | 10,500 | 33 | 0.3% |
Aged 65-69 | 8,768 | 8,800 | 32 | 0.4% |
Aged 70-74 | 8,400 | 8,400 | 0 | 0.0% |
Aged 75-79 | 5,455 | 5,600 | 145 | 2.7% |
Aged 80-84 | 4,313 | 4,300 | -13 | -0.3% |
Aged 85-89 | 2,542 | 2,500 | -42 | -1.7% |
Aged 90+ | 1,336 | 1,300 | -36 | -2.7% |
South Tyneside was not the only local authority to see a decline in population between the 2020 mid-year estimate and the 2021 Census. Regionally, 9 of 12 local authorities saw a decline, with the North East as a whole decreasing by over 33,000 (1.3%) people. Middlesbrough was the only authority in the region which saw a notable increase with 2,600 (1.9%) more people recorded.
Table 2: Mid-Year 2020 population estimate compared to 2021 Census - Regional Authorities
Area name | Mid-year 2020 | 2021 Census | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
England | 56,550,138 | 56,489,800 | -60,338 | -0.1% |
North East Region | 2,680,763 | 2,647,100 | -33,663 | -1.3% |
Tyne and Wear (Met County) | 1,146,624 | 1,127,200 | -19,424 | -1.7% |
County Durham | 533,149 | 522,100 | -11,049 | -2.1% |
Darlington | 107,402 | 107,800 | 398 | 0.4% |
Hartlepool | 93,836 | 92,300 | -1,536 | -1.6% |
Middlesbrough | 141,285 | 143,900 | 2,615 | 1.9% |
Northumberland | 323,820 | 320,600 | -3,220 | -1.0% |
Redcar and Cleveland | 137,228 | 136,500 | -728 | -0.5% |
Stockton-on-Tees | 197,419 | 196,600 | -819 | -0.4% |
Gateshead | 201,950 | 196,100 | -5,850 | -2.9% |
Newcastle upon Tyne | 306,824 | 300,200 | -6,624 | -2.2% |
North Tyneside | 208,871 | 209,000 | 129 | 0.1% |
South Tyneside | 151,133 | 147,800 | -3,333 | -2.2% |
Sunderland | 277,846 | 274,200 | -3,646 | -1.3% |
Changes from previous Censuses
South Tyneside saw a small reduction of 327 people in the 10 years since the 2011 census. This was a decrease from 148,127 to 147,800, 0.2% of the population.
Like the change from the 2020 population estimate those in their 20s have seen a reduction. This was most notable in the 20-24 age range which declined by over 2,000 people (22.7%). Changing demographics can explain some of the decline in those in their early 20s.
The 20-24-year-olds of the 2021 Census were ages 10-14 at the time of the 2011 Census. While there were 9,447 20-24-year-olds in 2011 there were only 8,233 10-14-year-olds. With a 20-24-year-old population of 7,300 demographic changes so not fully account for the decline in this age range, some external migration has occurred.
While it is possible that younger people leaving the borough for further education has caused this reduction there has not been a similar change between 2011's 5-9-year-olds and 2021's 15-19-year-olds.
Unlike comparisons to the mid-year population estimate 25-29-year-olds have been consistent. There was a 200 person decrease between the 2011 and 2021 census.
Since the 2011 Census there has been a 3,566 (26.2%) increase in those age 65-74. This was not unexpected, this mid-year estimates for this age group were particularly accurate.
This was the second census where South Tyneside has seen a reduction in population. There was a notable decline of 4,658 (3.0%) between 2001 and 2011.
Table 3: Change between 2001-2021 Censuses by age
Age | 2001 | 2011 | 2021 | Change 2001 - 2011 | % Change 2001 - 2011 | Change 2011 - 2021 | Change 2011 - 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All usual residents | 152,785 | 148,127 | 147,800 | -4,658 | -3.0% | -327 | -0.2% |
Age 0 to 4 | 8,441 | 8,182 | 7,900 | -259 | -3.1% | -282 | -3.4% |
Age 5 to 9 | 9,708 | 7,551 | 8,500 | -2,157 | -22.2% | 949 | 12.6% |
Age 10 to 14 | 10,670 | 8,233 | 8,600 | -2,437 | -22.8% | 367 | 4.5% |
Age 15 to 19 | 9,755 | 9,493 | 7,400 | -262 | -2.7% | -2,093 | -22.0% |
Age 20 to 24 | 8,072 | 9,447 | 7,300 | 1,375 | 17.0% | -2,147 | -22.7% |
Age 25 to 29 | 8,797 | 8,901 | 8,700 | 104 | 1.2% | -201 | -2.3% |
Age 30 to 44 | 33,819 | 27,436 | 27,700 | -6,383 | -18.9% | 264 | 1.0% |
Age 45 to 59 | 28,233 | 32,394 | 30,400 | 4,161 | 14.7% | -1,994 | -6.2% |
Age 60 to 64 | 8,044 | 9,637 | 10,400 | 1,593 | 19.8% | 763 | 7.9% |
Age 65 to 74 | 14,818 | 13,634 | 17,200 | -1,184 | -8.0% | 3,566 | 26.2% |
Age 75 to 84 | 9,881 | 9,632 | 9,800 | -249 | -2.5% | 168 | 1.7% |
Age 85 to 89 | 1,729 | 2,503 | 2,500 | 774 | 44.8% | -3 | -0.1% |
Age 90 and over | 818 | 1,084 | 1,300 | 266 | 32.5% | 216 | 19.9% |
Regionally the North East population has increased by 1.9% between the 2011 and 2021 Census. This was lower growth than England overall which saw a 6.6% increase.
The 0.2% decrease in South Tyneside was not the norm. Just three authorities in the region saw a population decline. Sunderland reduced by 1,300 people (0.5%) while Gateshead dropped by 4,100 (2.1%).
All other regional local authorities saw increases. Most notably Newcastle which had a 20,000 (7.1%) rise and North Tyneside with 8,200 (4.1%).
Table 4: Change between 2001-2021 Censuses - Regional Authorities
Area name | 2011 Census | 2021 Census | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
England | 53,012,456 | 56,489,800 | 3,477,344 | 6.6% |
North East Region | 2,596,886 | 2,647,100 | 50,214 | 1.9% |
Tyne and Wear (Met County) | 1,104,825 | 1,127,200 | 22,375 | 2.0% |
County Durham | 513,242 | 522,100 | 8,858 | 1.7% |
Darlington | 105,564 | 107,800 | 2,236 | 2.1% |
Hartlepool | 92,028 | 92,300 | 272 | 0.3% |
Middlesbrough | 138,412 | 143,900 | 5,488 | 4.0% |
Northumberland | 316,028 | 320,600 | 4,572 | 1.4% |
Redcar and Cleveland | 135,177 | 136,500 | 1,323 | 1.0% |
Stockton-on-Tees | 191,610 | 196,600 | 4,990 | 2.6% |
Gateshead | 200,214 | 196,100 | -4,114 | -2.1% |
Newcastle upon Tyne | 280,177 | 300,200 | 20,023 | 7.1% |
North Tyneside | 200,801 | 209,000 | 8,199 | 4.1% |
South Tyneside | 148,127 | 147,800 | -327 | -0.2% |
Sunderland | 275,506 | 274,200 | -1,306 | -0.5% |
Obesity Profile
A new indicator on adult obesity prevalence at local authority level has been added to the using data from the Active Lives Adult Survey. Previously estimates were limited to excess weight.
In 2020/21, South Tyneside had an obesity rate of 33.4%. This was significantly higher than England (25.3%) but similar to the region (32.3%).
While South Tyneside consistently has a higher obesity rate than England it has not changed significantly over the six years period data is available.
Table 5: Percentage of adults (aged 18+) classified as obese
| Year | South Tyneside | 95% Lower CI | 95% Upper CI | North East | England |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015/16 | 30.30% | 26.00% | 34.60% | 27.20% | 22.70% |
2016/17 | 30.60% | 26.20% | 35.10% | 26.60% | 23.20% |
2017/18 | 32.90% | 28.10% | 37.60% | 29.60% | 23.20% |
2018/19 | 29.40% | 25.20% | 33.90% | 28.30% | 23.60% |
2019/20 | 32.60% | 28.30% | 37.20% | 30.40% | 24.40% |
2020/21 | 33.40% | 28.80% | 37.90% | 32.30% | 25.30% |
Smoking at the time of delivery
NHS Digital updated statistics on to include quarter 4 2021/22.
In quarter 4 2021/22, smoking at the time of delivery rate in South Tyneside was 12.6%. This was an increase compared to 10.5% in quarter 3. South Tyneside was slightly lower than the Cumbria and North East's 13.1% but remained higher than England (9.4%).
In 2021/22, the rate for South Tyneside was 12.1% the lowest it has been since recording for this indicator began. This was a 1.2 percentage point reduction from the 13.3% in 2020/21.